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Mexico Industrial Output Rose 2.1 Percent in August (Update2)

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Mexico Industrial Output Rose 2.1 Percent in August (Update2)

Mexico’s industrial production rose 2.1 percent in August, less than the pace of the nation’s economic expansion, a sign that manufacturing is losing its role as the country’s main driver of growth.

The increase in output from the same month last year follows a drop of 1.1 percent in July, a government report showed. Economists expected a 2.2 percent increase, according to the median of 19 forecasts in a Bloomberg survey.

The lack of a robust recovery in Mexico’s manufacturing sector gives the central bank further incentive to cut rates in order to spur domestic demand, said economists such as Lehman Brothers Inc.’s John Welch.

“We’ve seen pretty weak numbers,'’ Welch said in a telephone interview from New York. “Even though this is better than July we are still on the decline. It’s time to ease monetary policy in a cautious way.'’

Welch predicted the Mexico’s central bank would cut the overnight lending rate another quarter point on Oct. 14. Mexico’s central bank has cut its benchmark lending rate twice since August to 9.25 percent, a half percentage point from a 29-month high of 9.75 percent. Mexico’s economy grew 3.1 percent in the second quarter from a year earlier, bolstered by an expansion in bank lending that has fueled domestic demand for consumer goods.

More: bloomberg.com

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